Daily stance / 2026-06-01

Wait / No New Position

Wait because the macro stack is mixed: bearish inflation/yield forces and bullish duration offsets are not aligned enough for a high-conviction action signal.

Net-27

Confidence51%

Bullish40

Bearish67

Configuration

Risk profileBalancedDefault thresholds

Short signalsEnabledDecision support only; no execution

TimezoneAmerica/New_YorkRefresh and event context

AuthSnowblind static sectionCan be wrapped in PHP password auth later

Data Gaps

No material ingestion gaps on this run.

Source Notes

Treasury yields, TIPS yields, breakevens, CPI/PCE, labor, dollar, credit, VIX, and term premium are pulled from FRED CSV endpoints where available.
TLT daily price uses Polygon when configured, then Alpha Vantage, then Yahoo/yfinance or Stooq development fallbacks.
Cleveland Fed nowcasts, FedWatch, EIA inventory detail, New York Fed GSCPI, CFTC positioning, Treasury auction internals, and BlackRock duration are represented as integration-ready gaps when no key/feed is configured; missing data lowers confidence rather than creating false precision.